As America goes fully into the war with Israel against Iran, bombing their nuclear sites and probably waiting for Iran's reaction to get further engaged in this dirty and very dangerous war, I thought this sort of funny article/analysis might shed some lights, or call it some useful insights on the situation over there.
If you think the Iran-Israel war will end in just a few days or weeks, then you probably haven’t fully understood the Iran-Iraq war that took place in the 80s.
In that bloody war, Iran defended itself not by defeating the enemy, but by tiring it out.
So, the question now is — can Iran tire Israel out? The simple answer is absolutely. In fact, one could argue that if Israel is the region’s most relentless aggressor, Iran is its most skilled exhaustor.
And let’s not forget that Israeli forces have already been drained for years by Tehran’s proxy campaigns.
Now, take a moment to imagine this hypothetical situation and some facts.
According to several safe estimates, Iran possesses thousands of missiles and hundreds of thousands of drones. On the other hand, Israeli citizens have been strictly instructed by their government that whenever they hear the warning siren signalling a potential enemy airstrike, they must immediately stop all activities and seek shelter in a secure location.
At the same time, we’ve seen that despite Israel’s globally renowned defense systems, they sometimes fail to intercept enemy projectiles, especially when faced with a large barrage. Now, obviously, if the public doesn’t take this vulnerability in the defense system seriously, they could, God forbid, end up paying a heavy price.
Now, just imagine: Iran launches just a few hundred of its thousands upon thousands of drones and missiles every day — targeting Israel precisely during business hours. What do you think the economic toll would be?
Just imagine the everyday chaos. Office workers calmly at their desks and shopkeepers peacefully conducting business would suddenly have to drop everything multiple times a day to rush to bomb shelters. And when they return after the sirens fade, they might find — God forbid — that some missiles have made it through, likely causing financial ruin to some innocent civilian’s livelihood.
Consider just the economic impact of missile attacks on Israeli airports alone. Ever since the Houthi attacks on Israel began, several major international airlines have intermittently suspended their flights to Israel.
Moreover, declining profits are being observed across every sector of the economy. According to West’s own newspapers, the economy continues to shrink while war expenditures keep rising. As if this weren’t enough, several major multinational corporations are facing operational difficulties in Israel due to security concerns.
Also, keep in mind that the missiles or drones coming from Iran cost thousands of dollars each, while the interceptor missiles fired by defense systems to shoot them down cost millions. The daily damage caused by Iranian missiles hitting their targets is one thing, but the expense of intercepting hundreds of them is an entirely separate burden.
So tell me — how many days can a nation’s wheels keep turning like this before everything grinds to a halt?
Now, does Israel have any solution to such an attrition? The short answer is no.
In such circumstances, providence favors a nation with vast geography, a large population, and self-sufficiency in essential resources like oil and food supplies. And by this measure, Iran clearly holds the advantage.
Israel suffers from extreme geographic compression. Its population and military infrastructure are crammed into concentrations. Iran, on the other hand, has vast territory at its disposal.
Look at Yemen. Saudi Arabia conducted sustained airstrikes in Yemen for years, followed by the US and then Israel. Yet, Yemen’s vast territory has prevented them from eliminating the Houthis. Even now, the Houthis easily find space to launch missiles at Israel.
If Yemen doesn’t prove the point, consider Afghanistan’s unbreakable resistance.
In stark contrast, if Israel were to face a major successful attack, its limited territory would make it extremely difficult to protect its assets.
Israel’s geographical constraints become stark when you consider unverified reports that its prime minister evacuated upon the first strikes on Iran. True or not, the mere possibility reveals how Israel struggles to safeguard even its leadership, let alone military infrastructure, in times of war.
And should opportunistic allies, North Korea and Russia, exploit this moment to drain Israel and the West, the Jewish state would face existential complications. Iran’s shared border with Russia provides strategic depth, while Israel’s isolation — cut off from allies and encircled by enemies — becomes its fatal vulnerability.
If Israel wants to avoid getting bogged down in this quagmire of war, it will have to take decisive action against Iran. By “decisive action,” I mean the complete elimination of Iran’s military capabilities, no matter what weapons Israel must deploy to achieve this.
The same Israel that has meticulously targeted Iran’s top officials with its formidable intelligence capabilities must certainly know the locations of Iran’s missile and drone stockpiles. If Israel could somehow strike these depots, it might indeed avoid a protracted war of attrition.
But this remains nearly impossible — after all, Israel hasn’t managed to fully eliminate such weapon caches even in Gaza, Hezbollah’s Lebanon, or Houthi-controlled Yemen. Worse, any successful strikes on Iran’s stockpiles would leave Tehran with zero strategic restraints, potentially triggering its most extreme retaliation.
Then Iran would undoubtedly target American assets and Arab nations in the region as well, leaving the entire Middle East in ruins.
A very good analysis of the ongoing war between the two rivals, mixed with humor , but still very insightful, by the talented Hamza Farooq, got it by email from the popular site Medium Daily Digest. A good copy for our blog readers, to better see and understand the present situation over the Middle-East and possibly the entire world soon.
As always, my many thanks to all.
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