Battle scenarios in Sweida, Syria.

The governorate of Sweida is witnessing an unprecedented military escalation between Syrian regime forces and armed groups from the province portends a worsening of the security and political situation in southern Syria. After months of intermittent tensions, direct clashes erupted, involving machine guns and military vehicles, and extended to multiple areas within the province. What's striking is that these confrontations have not remained within the confines of a traditional security response, but have taken on an open character in the past few hours, suggesting that a swift resolution will not be achieved and that the battle is set to become more complicated unless a sudden settlement is reached.

The current situation opens the door to several possible scenarios. The first is that the escalation continues for a long period, exhausting and depleting regime forces on the Sweida front, which could push Kurdish groups in the North or other groups in the Alawite regions  to take military actions to exploit this preoccupation. If this possibility is realized, then the Syria we know, may enter into a model similar to the Libyan model. Or the Sudanese, where political centralization collapses and the state disintegrates into conflicting armed zones of influence, making control impossible and the war protracted.

The second scenario is no less dangerous, and represents the possibility of direct Israeli intervention under the pretext of protecting the Druze component in Sweida. Such intervention, if it occurs, could take the form of an Israeli invasion. Even if limited or establishing points of concentration inside Syrian territory, which will be considered a direct occupation that will not be accepted by Damascus in any form, it will inevitably lead to a direct military clash between Syrian and Israeli forces, with the wide regional repercussions that this would entail.

The third scenario is based on the Syrian state resolving the situation, aiming to confront it quickly, whether through force or negotiation, and then move toward some kind of agreement with Israel, overt or implicit, that guarantees it control over a large part of Syrian territory, in exchange for security or political understandings. This possibility may seem tempting to the regime in terms of regaining control, but it carries a significant risk to stability at the Home Front, especially if it is framed as normalization or abandoning traditional positions.

What is happening in Sweida goes beyond a local conflict and reveals a new phase in the Syrian conflict, one that could redraw the map of influence within the country and draw regional parties into open confrontations within Syrian territory.

The original article was by the insightful Ali Mantash, from the respectable site "Lebanon 24" , translated and arranged to fit our blog, as always, to help my good readers to better understand difficult and dangerous situations all over.        My many thanks, as always, to all. 

REALITY SARCASM ......

 

Newly elected Republican congressman Randy Fine called Reps. Ilhan Omar (Minn.) and Rashida Tlaib (Mich.), as well as New York City Democratic mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani "Muslim terrorists" using language of hate very similar in essence to the sarcastic fictional message used here by this talented columnist, I had this column dormant in my files, but now as the occasion of hate rhetoric recently resurfaced, here in America and from our official representatives, And Mr. Fine, who refers to himself as the “Hebrew Hammer,” has only doubled down since. I thought of publishing the column on our blog to the benefit and understanding of our readers. 

 
The talented writer Ahmed Al-Sarraf writes sarcastically in the Kuwaiti newspaper Al-Qabas
Warning Christians:
Get out of Egypt and the Middle East countries so we can focus on killing each other and destroying our countries!!!!

Get out, Christians of Damascus, Yabroud, Maaloula, Saidnaya and Wadi al-Nasara, from our homelands. Get out, Christians of Mosul, Nineveh and Baghdad, from our countries. Get out, Christians of Lebanon, from our mountains and valleys. Get out, Christians of Palestine and the Jazira, from our beaches and our soil. 

Get out, all of you, from under our skins. Get out, all of you, for we hate you and do not want you among us. Get out, for we are tired of progress, civilization, openness, tolerance, love, brotherhood, coexistence and forgiveness. Get out, so that we can devote ourselves to killing each other. 

Get out, for you are not from us and we are not from you. Get out, for we are tired of you being the origin in Egypt, Iraq, Syria and Palestine. Get out, so that we will not be ashamed of you when our eyes meet your eyes, wondering what happened? Leave us with our misfortunes, for you have those who welcome you, and we will stay here, far from you and your claims, talents, competencies, knowledge and experiences. Leave us with fanaticism, hatred, animosity and slaughter. Leave, for we have had enough of bearing what you claim of civilization. With your departure, we will devote ourselves to ending it, erasing its traces, and destroying what your ancestors left behind of idols, deformities, and monuments of stone, poetry, prose and literature.

 Leave, for neither Iraq, nor Egypt, nor Syria, nor Kuwait, nor Palestine, nor Jordan, nor the fragrant North Africa need you or those who lived among us before you of Gypsies, Jews and Stone. Go and leave and take mercy with you, for after Nusra, ISIS, Al-Qaeda and the rest of the Brotherhood gangs and their latest products, we do not need mercy or sympathy, for blood will flow, violence will spread, hearts will be torn, livers will be eaten, tongues will be removed and necks will be loosened. And the knees will collapse, and we will return to ancient medicine and herbal medicine and reading old books and hitting the sand on the beach in search of luck.

Leave, our Christians, and take with you all the relics and bodies of Gibran Gibran, Sargon Boulos, Badawi Al-Jabal, Anastas Al-Karmali, Youssef Al-Sayegh, Saadi Al-Maleh, the sons of Takla, Al-Yaziji, Al-Bustani, Antoun Saadeh, and Al-Akhtal Al-Saghir. Also take with you your universities and hospitals, and close your missions, and we do not need even Mikhael Naimy, and do not forget May Ziadeh, the sons of Maalouf, Sarrouf, and the sons of Ghali, Zidane, Al-Khazen, Bustros, Thabet, and Al-Sakakini, for none of them are from us and we are not from them.

Yes, leave us, for we want to return to our deserts and ride camels. We miss our swords, our soil, and our beasts. We do not need you, your civilization, or your linguistic and poetic contributions. We have enough groups, killers, and bloodthirsty people to do without you.

Get away from us, Christians, with your culture, for we have replaced it with the culture of digging graves!

Ahmed Al-Sarraf
Al-Qabas Kuwaiti Newspaper.

He he he..... Sarcasm pushed to its limits, but sort of factual and existent among many unfortunate manipulated ignorants, brain-washed and used by fanaticism coming from all sides, Muslims, Zionists, Western imperialists or local dictators clinging to their seats, a big game in the Middle-East, a big game in the international arena being constantly fueled by Muslims and both Christian nationalists westerners and of course Israeli Zionists and their allies nowadays assuming the leading role of this undeclared war. All parties are guilty as such, whether aggressors or aggressed.

My many thanks to all my good friends and readers.    

WHAT"S HAPPENING OVER THERE.....

 

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Beit Hanoun ambush: Implications 

and messages of the operation

Enass Karimeh

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08-07-2025 | 07:00

At the moment PM Benjamin Netanyahu is preparing to present his political papers inWashingtonThe response from Gaza came in a completely different language. The attack carried out by theresistance In Beit Hanoun, it was not read as a limited field movement, but rather as a precisely timed political message that targeted the content of the visit, before it targets soldiers on the ground.

While it was an Israeli military establishment policy to talk about fortification of The front in the northern Gaza Strip, which is promoting control over what is known as the buffer zone, saw the operation originates from within this particular area, which monitoring sources considered a direct denial of everything previously announced. According to estimates, what happened can only be understood within the context of an escalation of operations that have continued since Khan Younis, reflecting that the resistance still maintains the initiative and is not waiting for the end of the negotiating process to redraw the rules of engagement.

In the same context, the technology showcased by the army did not succeed. Israeli in detecting or thwarting the movement, despite the deployment of surveillance vehicles and advanced systems along the border. Sources monitoring the situation believe that this failure is not only due to a technical malfunction, but also to a deeper flaw in the field of assumptions upon which the plan for deployment in the northern Gaza Strip was based.

The operation, according to the same sources, struck at a time when Tel Aviv promotes the possibility of recovering a number of prisoners through a potential deal, but it was met on the ground with the opposite scenario. The loss on the ground at this particular moment not only confuses security calculations, but also shakes the narrative the government sought to present in Washington, reflecting an imbalance between the political and field tracks.

In this context, sources point out that the "dead for prisoners" equation could have a direct impact on Israeli Home Front , as the loss of life at a time when negotiations are supposed to be in flux confuses public opinion and reshuffles the official discourse. The shock on the ground at this time contradicts everything the government has been trying to establish in terms of an illusory stability.

On the other hand, the operation coincided with escalating tensions within the Israeli leadership, amid differing positions between the military establishment and the prime minister, and signs of a growing gap between the Chief of Staff on the one hand, and Mr. Netanyahu and some members of the cabinet on the other. Sources indicate that this turbulent climate within decision-making circles increases the fragility of the Israeli position and gives the resistance more room to maneuver at critical moment

What happened in Beit Hanoun was not just a security breach; it was also a sharp message that th

What happened in Beit Hanoun was not just a security breach; it was also a sharp message that the resistance is still capable of surprising the enemy at the moment it believes it has the upper hand. The battle is not over, the resistance still has its surprises, and the occupation is facing a complex crisis whose boundaries are expanding by the day. 

A quick translation of an article in Arabic published in the "Lebanon 24" news site, whereby here in the States and probably most of the Western world, no one mentioned an ambush in Beit Hanoun at these times. I found it more indicative and explicit of the real situation on the ground, more so than the official media and announcements made by several political sides.

Again, and as always, my many thanks to all my good readers.