Monday, December 15, 2014

20 , 50 , or 100 YEARS .......



Such  numbers from a historical perspective are minimal and almost meaningless ,  so many conflicts , wars , truces , empires , fascist and brutal dictators , as well as many other events in our world last 5000 years history , lasted 50 or a 100 years , to totally vanish later with hardly any trace at all .


IF I was either an Israeli politician , some Neocon right wing zealot , or an ISIS good old turbaned Sunni jihadi Musslem , I would by now be well entrenched in serious negotiations for a long truce with the other party.  The problem is ; would a 20 or 50 years truce be adequate and fulfilling or should we aim and work our efforts for a 100 years truce .  IT all happened before with both sides .


Both , Sunnis and Jews , would agree to such an arrangement influenced by  their religiosity , beliefs and historicity , a solid commitment from both parties , a win-win situation . I believe historically both religions had more than one well established truce between them , in the times of their coexistence , during the early days of Islam and Muhammad's establishing of his reign .


So in the actual Middle-East , and the Levant , as we are clearly witnessing the beginnings and the Resurrection of an older pattern , whereby It is not just a matter of inventing or discovering new tactics , or political devises , the rapprochement of the two Major forces , Sunni Musslems and Israeli Jews , is starting to take place  slowly and surely .


The interesting part is our underestimating of the speed with which the new rapprochement and the accepting trends , are taking hold . It seems to be coinciding perfectly and synchronized with the rise of religiosity  and fanaticism in most M-E countries and certainly in both camps .


The various combinations heighten the possibilities  but also the dangers . The rate at which people and their leaders , absorb such acceptances is rising fast . It took far more than half a century of total Musslem/Jewish enmity before on the ground circumstances due mostly to Sunni/Shiia historic  hatred and distrust , would allow people to accept and start absorbing such ideas .


The Sunni/Shiia fault line that divided and continue to do so , in several nations within the Middle-East , is proving to be far worse and  more destructive than the Musslem/Jewish divides throughout history , old and new.


Let's agree that both sides , Musslems and Israeli Jews , and for the greater part of the past century , systematically refused to give the other any strategical advantages . Any benefit one gets is seen immediately as a debit on the other side . Widespread distrust  was the reigning situation .


Now that we accept that the Islamisation scenarios of all countries covering the Middle-East map , are here to stay , for some decades at least , and the establishing and governing of the Jewish orthodoxy and their Neocons leaders are here to stay as well , a Sunni/Jewish truce is de rigueur ,and is being contemplated by more than one party , countries as well as  individuals . As I've always firmly believed that only extremists from both sides will be able to ever sign a truce or peace treaty .


Whether it's all for the better or worse is debatable , and what the future of this area of the world hides is to be seen .


My usual many thanks to everyone for your time .        

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