Saturday, February 3, 2018

THE LAST SHIFT IN AMERICAN GEOPOLITICAL POLICY .....


The present Trump oligarchy are in total disarray, as in foreign or domestic policies. The lack of any clear vision or strategy for the future of the country, leaves it at the whim of some very few inexperienced profiteers and their allies interests.  The invalid and dilapidated State Department, short of every essential senior diplomat, the so very busy White House with internal partisan cover-ups and investigations, and its permanent scandals , the total immaturity of presidential special envoys, be it to Israel/Palestine,  Pakistan, Europe, Iran or Korea. The Middle East in general is pathetic, and totally in the hands of Pentagon generals and few Neo-cons looking desperately for revenge to the failures of the last couple decades through renewed conflicts and wars. 

The administration and the Pentagon have recently issued a National Security Strategy, and a National Defense Strategy, which fundamentally reverses US strategy, replacing the two decades old "Global war on terror"  with the preparation and escalation for conflict and world war of great power.  Where the emphasis is on the build-up of Washington's nuclear arsenal. And the destruction or annihilation of all who stand in line opposing our policies, be it Iran, North Korea, Pakistan or whoever , in the same way we did to Iraq, Syria, Libya and Yemen.

America, its ruling administration, and its ruling oligarchy, are all shifting rapidly to a totally new "perpetual war strategy" Dictated by the Pentagon, and the war machine, in America and elsewhere, Israel and to a lesser degree Turkey, would immediately come to mind for the same tactics. It all follows a period where the previous president, followed by Mr. Trump were calling for keeping an absolute minimum of American troops in Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria, and all other hot spots of the world.

As a matter of fact, Mr. Trump called several times during his campaign and his first few months as president for a total pull-out , he asserted that past policies had depleted the US military, he also declared that instead of investing in wars, he'd rather spend the money on rebuilding the US's crumbling infrastructure, he he he... some of us believed him .

Now we're clearly witnessing the shift to what is the perpetual war, hardly ever masked by the "On terrorism" anymore in Afghanistan or lately in Syria or even in Iraq,Yemen or Niger or Korea. Mr. Tillerson's latest several speeches, spoke openly that US troops are in to stay indefinitely in all these spots .

The little snag in justifying this approach was the rather quick defeat of ISIS in Iraq and Syria, where the US , contrary to its ambitions of maintaining its presence and wars, declared victory too soon over Islamist jihadies, rendering its troops presence in those parts obsolete and questionable. So we kept some of these fighters for now scattered in the deserts as a good enough alibi .

The interesting and convenient discovery, to maintain the game for long times to come, is the Kurdish element. Who are for now our partners in combating terrorists. But surely who will need full protection themselves from prosecution and annihilation from all other parties involved. Iraq, Iran, Turkey, the Syrian regime and the Islamists. They all historically hated and feared an independent Kurdish entity.

American war strategists, are suddenly discovering how convenient this card is. Even with Turkey, where we give them a little leeway, for their self esteem, while we keep whispering in their ears that American troops are essential to insure no future foolish Kurd terrorism could be tolerated against Turkey. So the pact with Turkey and NATO would be saved , and keeping Turkey under pressure, controlled by US direct involvement. The final drawing of these lines and maps are taking shape as we speak.

Keeping a sizable presence vis a vis the Russian interests and bases in Syria and the region, and crippling the ever growing Iranian presence in Iraq, Assad's Syria and Lebanon. Having a major base in other than Musslem Arab or Turkish countries, fighting perpetually the terrorists , and the noble cause of protecting the Kurds, are all worthy of the new shift, having one of our biggest bases through the world in  this specific area, will insure new dominance over the entire area , and total protection to Israel's continued colonial hegemony and theft.

It may all succeed in terms of war machination, and Neo-Cons wishes and interests, but surely at some great price and sacrifices to American people and economy, not to mention the effects on the peoples of the area, the Syrians, Iraqis, the whole M-E, extending all the way through Iran , Afghanistan and Pakistan. It is No mistake or coincidence, as throughout 2017, the US military and Administration officials were already heavily engaged in various negotiations with several governments of the area, for some open-ended commitments of American troops on their soil, regardless of the ISIS success or failure.

Neither the American people, nor its intellectuals, strategy thinkers or politicians won this new shift to war policies, the war system and machinery , the Neocons and the Pentagon generals did, and one or two of our beloved allies , while the carnage goes on .

My, as always, many thanks to all .                   

  

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