Monday, April 13, 2026

AN EXCELLENT ANALYSIS......

 

By Giorgos Kentas*
The sudden announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran on April 7, 2026, has temporarily quieted the bombs but also revealed much about how modern republics go to wars, as well as how they choose to pause or stop them. The decision, delivered at the last possible moment and justified as a victory, came like every other major move in this conflict: abrupt, personal, and sealed off from public deliberation. 
The shift from threats of annihilation to calls for peace was not the outcome of national debate or congressional oversight. It was a unilateral calculation, a strategic pivot made by one leader and his advisors, shaped by military reports and political timing. It was, in that sense, the perfect mirror of how the war began. The same process that led to escalation also produced de-escalation: decisions born in the shadows, justified in public only after they were irrevocable. 
From the earliest strikes to the latest ceasefire, the pattern has been unmistakable. A small network at the top controls the narrative, the intelligence, and the pace. Experts who questioned the plan were sidelined; the public, for all its opposition, remained a distant spectator. Yet these moves were presented as the will of a ‘democratic nation’; a paradox that grows harder to ignore each time policy shifts without consent or explanation. 
The comparison between war and peace within this framework is revealing. Both are acts of controlled perception. The war was propelled by confidence in precision warfare and moral certainty; the ceasefire is packaged as strategic triumph and moral restraint. In both cases, the logic belongs to an elite stratum, an elected and or unelected oligarchy , that manages outcomes while insulating itself from accountability. The people who bear the risks and pay the price, remain absent from the calculus. 
What is at stake now is more than the success or failure of a ceasefire. It is the question of how a  republic, a modern democracy, can repeatedly cross the threshold of war and back without a genuine national conversation. The liberal ideal assumes that public scrutiny tempers the impulse to fight; in practice, authority operates through closed councils and instantaneous decrees. The façade holds — elections occur, speeches are made — but the core decisions are oligarchic in nature, taken by the few who possess information and command force. 
The war in Iran, even paused, has already exposed this structural truth. The sudden calm is not the climax of democratic wisdom but the result of political necessity. With markets rattled, allies uneasy, and domestic discontent mounting, retreat was recast as resolution. The ceasefire was declared, like every major action in this conflict, as though the nation itself had spoken, when in truth, the nation had merely been told. 
In the language of power, this is how democracies deceive themselves. The rhetoric of consent persists, but the practice of governance shifts toward concentration and secrecy. When the decisions to bomb and to cease bombing come from the same solitary voice, it becomes clear that what the system enacts is not collective reason but managed obedience. 
The two-week pause may hold or it may not. But either way, it leaves behind a sobering lesson: in the modern liberal order, the war is no longer the exceptional act that democracies’ lexicon restrains. It is the routine act that the polity explains after the fact, and now, even peace follows the same script. 
*Associate Professor in Politics and Governance, University of Nicosia, Cyprus.
kentas.g@unic.ac.cy
Got this article by email from a good friend, as part of a Cypriot site with different articles and news, and I found this one very factual and to the point by this sharp professor, depicting a modern ugly situation culminating in a very destructive war that endanger world stability. 
 My many thanks to all. 

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