Wednesday, May 22, 2013

TWO AND A HALF YEARS DOWN THE LINE .........




Two and a half years down the line of the Syrian situation and impasse , the only way out nowadays in my opinion , is a direct intervention of the west , the situation politically and on the ground  totally justifies a Libyan style intervention by the US. NATO and possibly a Russian  limited  intervention .

Justification for such an act , after a long stale mate between the different powers involved , would be to first , finish the old Assad regime and get him out , second , pressure and finish the ultra  salafist and alquaida influenced  factions and get them out as well , the direct help of Turkish troops would make it easy , plus the political and monetary consent of all Arab countries including Saudi Arabia , Qatar and the Arab golf , Israel of course would go along without saying .

A third  objective  would be to rid the area of a very dangerous and quickly expanding war , that will engulf all of Syria's neighbours , ie.  Lebanon , Jordan , Iraq  and eventually Turkey itself , Israel is not out of such scenario .

Weakening Iran  and it's ally  Hezbollah  to an almost  stand still , is a sure  and clear advantage  to Israel , the Arab countries  and  strategically  to  the  US. and  the west in general .

Another  reason and  for  fairness sake , is  the establishment  of  a  sort  of  democratic power  sharing system , to govern  and  slowly  rebuild  Syria , such a regime  that  has  better chances than  actual  Iraqi's  faltering  democracy . Thus  returning  some  of  America's lost  credibility in the world  after the  fiasco of  the  Iraqi  adventure .

The Russian side could , if not already , be convinced//pressured  of having a secure  share in the intervention itself and the following  political  and  economical  sharing  in the  future  Syria . Something  denied  to them  in  Libya .  China  has  no  real  power  or  saying  in  this  part  of  the  world .

Iran itself  will be  totally  cornered  with  an  Israeli  watch dog  threatening  and  keeping it in check , even  happy  for  an Iranian  miss-calculation  to  strike  and  destroy .

Clearly  a  win -win  situation  to  all  sides  and  parties , including  the  Russian  and  Iranian  axis  who , even  though  looks as if  holding well behind  the  Assad  regime , know  that  time  and the future  is  not  to  their  advantage .  The  West  will  prove  to  itself  and  to  world  opinion  to  be  more  fair  and just  in policing  the  world  and  it's  affairs .

The  Arab  countries  and  their  populations , who  classically  and for  long  decades , have  been systematically  denouncing  American  and  western  imperialism and  interventions  in  various  forms  in the  Middle East  , are  nowadays  begging  for  such  an  intervention .  US.  military  and  the  public  opinion  manipulating  machines in the US. and  Europe  will be  very  happy  to  oblige . Again  a  win-win  happy  situation  and  outcome .




A month  and a  half  in  the  middle  East  , my  observations  made  me totally convinced  of  what  I believe  is  the  only  way  out  of  this  quagmire  and  potentially  ticking  bomb  to  the  area and to world  safety .  Thanks   for  your  time , and  salamat.

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